The progress is riddled with uncertainty and black swans
Creator is impartial, treating all things as straws or dogs. The sage, too, is impartial, regarding the people as straws or dogs. If even the creator shift with storms and tides, how can a mere “instructor” presume to chart the course of nations? Let alone a fool! Fear not the individual with ideas, but beware the one who claims to think for humanity, pointing the way forward. Such hubris makes creator laugh, and calamity follows—disasters man-made beyond the nature.
Qin crushed the six kingdoms, dreaming of eternal rule, yet fell in its second generation. The “perfect” emperor, chasing fame and glory, boasted of celestial empire, only to end in humiliation, “The sicker of East Asia.” The “great leader” who was honored as the red sun, brought famine in the Great Leap Forward. A crusade for public health, with masks and lockdowns, turned Angels into Rats scurrying underground, and the “SB ” became a punchline, as if everything like a dream.
Deng steadied a crumbling “edifice”, yet staying foolish staying hungry, with openning mind to world. Washington laid America’s foundation, wielding power without silencing others, allowing all to speak. With equality and freedom as its cornerstone, it became a beacon of human civilization. Taiwan, a speck of land, thrived when Chiang Ching-kuo loosened his grip on power, offering hope for the Chinese world. Tyrants who impose one man’s will over millions are doomed to fail. The creator and the sage align with the hearts of millions, rooted in the essence of all things, achieving through the nature way what force could not—prosperity through the freedom.
If someone claims to light the path to human happiness, declaring their way the only road to paradise,they’re either a fool or a fraud—stupid or sinister. Guard against them. Often, the opposite of their words edges closer to truth. Frauds crave followers, reveling in power and adulation, or they cloak greed in moral platitudes. Fools fan the flames, adding fuel, sacrificing themselves as stepping stones.
The future is unpredictable, and the man fortunes shift overnight. Economic and civilizational progress is riddled with uncertainty and black swans. Uniformity breeds fragility, stripping systems of resilience and antifragility. Only through sufficient diversity and a nature of chaos—through competition—can individual creativity and uniqueness thrive. Natural selection, favoring the strong and culling the weak, drives civilization forward, iteration by iteration. Failure becomes the mother of success; individual fragility forges collective resilience and antifragility. When we stop worshipping the corrupt victorious and start honoring the brave who fail, when we cease bowing to power and wealth and make the people equal, when history no longer crowns kings and damns the vanquished but reveres a General Lee of the South—then humanity will truly stand tall, united in a shared vision, a dream for civilization.
